Harris Surveys: Intentionally Misleading? Incompetently Designed? Not sure?

Jan Plotczyk • January 9, 2024


Rep. Andrew P. Harris (R-MD-1) — my congressman — wants to know what I think.

 

He wants to know so badly that he’s invited me to respond to two opinion surveys. Which my tax dollars help pay for.

 

Via text message last month, Harris asked me to weigh in on the “issues that matter most” to me. Linked to the text was an online survey with 12 questions (what I’ll call the long form). (Unfortunately, this survey doesn't look active any more.) I wasn’t asked which issues matter most to me. Instead, Harris’s office seems to assume I agree with the MAGA Republican agenda, and the survey questions reflect that bias.

 

Via mail last week, I was invited to tell him what I think by answering a shorter questionnaire with seven questions (the short form). On this survey, I was asked to choose which issue concerns me most from a list of right-wing GOP talking points. I could answer by return mail or online.

 

Contrary to what you might expect, the short form is not a condensed version of the long form. Only one question is shared by the two surveys. Two other questions are similar, but the answer choices differ.

 

I contacted one of Harris’s field offices to ask about this not-quite-duplicative effort of dueling surveys. The staff person who answered the phone did not have much information to share with me about survey design or participant selection but said that he would record that I called asking that the results be shared with Harris’s constituents.

 

The long form was not presented to all Harris’s constituents (I did my own casual survey to determine this); the short form was mailed to a much larger audience — even to people who have moved away.

 

The questions reveal no nuanced understanding of complex issues, and the answer choices are simplistic sound bites.

 

Here are a few examples:

 

Long Form Question: Americans continue to face record high inflation. Do you believe we need to control government spending, particularly wasteful spending, to bring down inflation?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

The problem with this question is that record high inflation is not continuing. The inflation rate for the last six months was 2%. The inflation rate for 2022 was 6.2%, so the inflation rate has come down dramatically. Predicted average rates for 2024-27 are in the 1.8% range. Republicans such as Harris have a political interest, however, in perpetuating the myth that Americans still face out-of-control inflation.

 

Economists agree that cutting government spending is one element of fiscal policy for controlling inflation, but only one; another major element is increasing taxes, which this question doesn’t touch. Harris fails to acknowledge that inflation is a complex issue and that things are better than he’ll acknowledge.

 

Harris’s phrase, “wasteful spending,” is a dog whistle that includes spending on social programs — such as food assistance, welfare and unemployment payments, assistance for childcare — used by people who consume what is considered (by some) to be more than their fair share of government resources.

 

This question really reads: You are paying more for goods and it’s not your fault. Should the government reduce spending on social programs that you don’t use so that inflation can be curbed?

 

There is no short form version of this question.

 

Long Form Question: Should Congress limit late term abortions or leave it up to states to decide?

Limit late term abortions

Leave it to states to decide

Not sure

 

There are several problems with this question. First, what is a “late term abortion”? This is not a medical term, but a political construct. According to the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, this term has “no clinical or medical significance.”

 

A full-term pregnancy is 39-40 weeks and ”late term” refers to 41-42 weeks. Because abortions do not occur during these two weeks, there is no such thing as a late-term abortion, although this imprecise language makes it seem as if many abortions are performed in the third trimester.

 

Later abortions typically take place at the end of the second trimester, but only about 1.3% of abortions take place at 21 weeks or beyond (second trimester is weeks 13-28). As a medical doctor, Harris should take more care with his language, as some people tend to trust his word and think he knows what he’s talking about.

 

The other problem with this question is the choices given. Not wanting to choose either of the first two options does not mean one is not sure.

 

There is no short form version of this question.

 

Long Form Question: Should Maryland do more to crack down on crime?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

Crime is another issue often exaggerated by Republicans, especially during a Democratic administration. The crime rate in Maryland in fact decreased in 2023, due in large part to a 21% reduction in homicides in Baltimore City. This question does not acknowledge the recent decrease in crime, nor does it assume that there are effective programs in place to reduce crime.

 

But “Yes” is an easy answer to this question, no matter your political persuasion. “Cracking down” on crime can include the implementation of data-based community programs and community policing initiatives — hardly right-wing solutions. But it can also mean easing gun safety laws so that more people can arm themselves, expanding qualified immunity of local police so that officers are not “hampered” in their policing efforts, and mandating harsher punishments for persons convicted.

 

The short form does have a version of this question.

 

Short Form Question: With rising crime, should we support the police and enforce criminal sentences or weaken law enforcement?

Fund Police & Enforce Penalties

Weaken

Unsure

 

Perhaps this is the second, revised version of the crime question, the first version having been determined to be too wishy-washy and not liable to produce the desired result. This version reduces the issue to a simplistic and restrictive choice. And, as pointed out above, crime is not rising.

 

I could critique more questions, but you can see for yourself. I’ve copied all the questions to the end of this article.

 

I am looking forward to seeing the results of these opinion surveys.

 

Here’s a final note about the “right direction/wrong track” question. Over the last 50 years, since the question was first asked in 1971, there have only been three times when Americans have answered that the country was going in the right direction. These were in 1984-86, under Reagan; in 1998-2000, under Clinton; and in 2001, right after 9/11 when Bush was in office.

 

At all other times, “polls have consistently found that a solid majority of Americans have not been happy with the direction of our nation.” As Philip Bump wrote in the Washington Post, “The first thing to know is that Americans are almost always more likely to say the country is headed in the wrong direction than on the right track.”

 

Interestingly, a Gallup poll in 2022 found that people were five times more satisfied with their own life than with the direction of the country.

 

Let’s keep that in mind when Harris reports his results.

 

The survey questions are below. How many problematic questions can you find?

 

~~~~~

 

The Short Form Survey

 

~~~~~

The Long Form Survey

 

Text received Wednesday, 12/13/23:

 

Hi, this is Congressman Andy Harris. As 2023 comes to a close, I wanted to get your input on the issues that matter most to you. Please take a few minutes to fill out the survey here.

 

Good evening, this is a constituent survey paid for by official funds authorized by the House of Representatives. It is critical that we hear from you about your concerns and your thoughts on key issues. Please take a few moments to answer these quick questions so we can better serve you in Congress.

 

Do you believe our country is headed in the right direction, or is it going off on the wrong track?

Right direction

Wrong track

Not sure

 

How, if at all, have you and your family been impacted by inflation?

Extremely impacted

Somewhat impacted

Not impacted at all

Not sure

 

What is your opinion of Joe Biden’s policies?

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion/not sure

 

What is your opinion of Governor Wes Moore’s policies?

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion/not sure

 

Should Maryland do more to crack down on crime?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

Should Congress limit late term abortions or leave it up to states to decide?

Limit late term abortions

Leave it to states to decide

Not sure

 

Should we secure the Southern Border?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

Americans continue to face record high inflation. Do you believe we need to control government spending, particularly wasteful spending, to bring down inflation?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

One of the first acts of the new Congress was to eliminate the administration’s plan to hire 87,000 new IRS Agents according to the Ways and Means majority staff. Do you support stopping the expansion of the IRS?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

Do you support limiting government spending on food stamp programs to nutritious foods only?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

Do you think Maryland should expand school choice options for students in failing public schools?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

Do you believe taxpayer dollars be used to fund transgender surgery in our military?

Yes

No

Not sure

 

How much have you seen, read, or heard recently about Congressman Harris?

A lot

Just some

Nothing at all

 

Are you female or male?

Female

Male

 

Which age range do you fall under?

18-29

30-39

40-49

50-64

65+

 

We thank you for your time spent taking this survey. Your response has been recorded.

 

 

Jan Plotczyk spent 25 years as a survey and education statistician with the federal government, at the Census Bureau and the National Center for Education Statistics. She retired to Rock Hall.

 

Common Sense for the Eastern Shore

By John Christie December 16, 2025
When I practiced law, much of my litigation involved issues arising under federal antitrust laws. The Department of Justice (DOJ) was my frequent adversary in court. In some cases, DOJ challenged a client’s conduct as anticompetitive. In others, they claimed an intended client merger would create a monopoly. Some of these DOJ court battles were won, others were not. Overall, I had great respect for DOJ lawyers. They were professional, well prepared, and dedicated to their mission of seeing justice done. They were courteous, honest, and forthright with the courts before which we argued our cases. In those days, without resorting to social media or press conferences, the DOJ spoke entirely through its court filings. Although as an advocate I took issue with various DOJ investigatory decisions as well as decisions to initiate litigation, I never thought politics was involved. Post-Watergate internal rules strictly limited communication with any figures at the White House. Not so, it seems, anymore. Beginning last January 20, all of this changed rapidly and spectacularly . On March 14, Trump triumphantly arrived at the main DOJ building in D.C. to be welcomed by a group of carefully selected VIPs. He was greeted by Pam Bondi, his chosen new attorney general, who exclaimed, “We are so proud to work at the directive (sic) of Donald Trump.” Bondi’s boast that the DOJ now worked at the president’s behest was something never said before and, in effect, surrendered the department’s long and proud independence. And Bondi’s comment was not an empty gesture. As chronicled by reporters Carol Leonnig and Aaron Davis in their new book, Injustice: How Politics and Fear Vanquished America’s Justice Department , within hours of being sworn in, Trump and his lieutenants began punishing those at the Justice Department who had investigated him or those he considered his political enemies. Career attorneys with years of experience under many administrations were fired or reassigned to lesser work, or they resigned. As Leonnig and Davis report, what followed was “the wholesale overthrow of the Justice Department as Trump insert[ed] his dutiful former defense attorneys and 2020 election deniers atop the department.” [Source: Injustice , p. xix.] In the place of years of experience, the new team appears credentialed simply by loyalty to the president’s causes. The DOJ’s conduct in court has since caused damage to judicial and public faith in the integrity and competence of the department. Just Security is an independent, non-partisan, daily digital law and policy journal housed in the Reiss Center on Law and Security at the New York University School of Law. Since January 20, it has documented federal judicial concerns about DOJ conduct. In 26 cases, judges raised questions about DOJ non-compliance with judicial orders and in more than 60 cases, judges expressed distrust of government-provided information and representations. This count was taken the day after a federal court dismissed the DOJ cases against former FBI Director James Comey and New York Attorney General Letitia James. [Source: Just Security , “The ‘Presumption of Regularity’ in Trump Administration Litigation,” Nov. 20, 2025.] As summarized by the Georgetown Law Center’s Steve Vladeck, “It’s one thing for the Department of Justice to so transparently pursue a politically motivated prosecution. But this one has been beset from the get-go with errors that remotely competent law students wouldn’t make. Indeed, it seems a virtual certainty that the Keystone Kops-like behavior of the relevant government lawyers can be traced directly to the political pressure to bring this case; there’s a reason why no prosecutors with more experience, competence, or integrity were willing to take it on.” [Source: One First , Nov. 24, 2025.] Rather than accept criticism and instead of trying to do better, Bondi’s DOJ and the Trump administration lash out in a fashion apparently aimed at demeaning the federal judiciary. At a recent Federalist Society’s National Lawyers Convention, Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, one of Trump’s former defense attorneys, attributed the Trump administration’s myriad losses in the lower federal courts to “rogue activist judges.” He added, “There’s a group of judges that are repeat players, and that’s obviously not by happenstance, that’s intentional, and it’s a war, man.” Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller decries each adverse ruling against the Trump administration as just part of a broader “judicial insurrection.” Not to be left behind, Trump himself regularly complains of “radical left lunatic” judges. In addition to the harm these comments inflict on the federal courts, their premise is simply not true. According to a survey by Vladeck, as of Nov. 14, there were 204 cases in which federal district courts have ruled on requests for preliminary relief against the Trump administration. In 154 of them, district judges granted either a temporary restraining order, a preliminary injunction, or both. Those 154 rulings came from 121 district judges appointed by seven presidents (including President Trump) in 29 district courts. In the 154 cases with rulings adverse to the Trump administration, 41 were presided over by 30 Republican-appointed judges, fully half of whom were appointed by President Trump. No, it is no longer your grandfather’s Department of Justice. John Christie was for many years a senior partner in a large Washington, D.C. law firm. He specialized in anti-trust litigation and developed a keen interest in the U.S. Supreme Court about which he lectures and writes.
By CSES Staff December 16, 2025
The Salisbury City Council has appointed longtime public servant Melissa D. Holland to fill the vacancy in District 2. Holland was selected on Dec. 1 after the council reviewed several applicants. A 27-year resident of Salisbury, Holland brings more than 20 years of experience in government, education, and administration. As executive assistant to the president of the University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, she currently oversees operations, budgeting, communications, and planning. Before joining UMCES, Holland worked for nearly 11 years with the Wicomico County Council, gaining extensive experience in legislative procedure, constituent services, research, and budget preparation. Her background includes positions with the Wicomico County Board of Education, the State of Maryland’s Holly Center, and multiple early-learning programs. Approved by a 3-1 council vote, Holland was selected based on her administrative expertise and long-standing community involvement. (Salisbury’s City Council is now comprised of only women.) She has a bachelor’s degree in legal studies from Post University and an associate degree from Wor-Wic Community College. She has also served as PTA president at East Salisbury Elementary and Wicomico Middle School. In her application, Holland emphasized her commitment to maintaining transparency in city government and ensuring that District 2 residents remain informed and represented. “I plan to be well-informed on the issues that matter to the citizens of Salisbury and to listen to their concerns carefully,” she wrote. “I want to make a positive and lasting impact on our city.” Holland’s appointment restores the City Council to full membership as it faces debates over budgeting, infrastructure planning, and local governance initiatives. She is expected to begin constituent outreach immediately and participate fully in the selection of the next council president.
By CSES Staff November 4, 2025
Voters in Hurlock have delivered sweeping changes in this year’s municipal election, as Republican and GOP-aligned candidates won key races there. The results mark a setback for Democrats and a significant political shift in a community that has historically leaned Democratic in state and federal contests. The outcome underscores how local organizing and turnout strategies can have an outsized impact in small-town elections. Analysts also suggest that long-term party engagement in municipal contests could shape voter alignment in future county and state races. Political analysts warn that ignoring municipal elections and ceding them to the GOP could hurt the Maryland Democratic Party in statewide politics. Turnout increased by approximately 17% compared with the 2021 municipal election, reflecting heightened local interest in the mayoral and council races. Incumbent Mayor Charles Cephas, a Democrat, was soundly defeated by At-Large Councilmember Earl Murphy, who won with roughly 230 votes to Cephas’s 144. In the At-Large Council race, Jeff Smith, an independent candidate backed by local Republicans, secured a 15-point win over Cheyenne Chase. In District 2, Councilmember Bonnie Franz, a Republican, was re-elected by 40 percentage points over challenger Zia Ashraf, who previously served on the Dorchester Democratic Central Committee. The only Democrat to retain a seat on the council was David Higgins, who was unopposed. The Maryland Republican Party invested resources and campaign attention in the Hurlock race, highlighting it on statewide social media and dispatching party officials, including Maryland GOP Chair Nicole Beus Harris, to campaign. Local Democrats emphasized support for Mayor Cephas through the Dorchester County Democratic Central Committee, but the Maryland Democratic Party did not appear to participate directly.
By CSES Staff November 4, 2025
In what political observers are calling a clear break from Maryland’s moderate Republican establishment, Wicomico County Executive Julie Giordano chose former Gov. Bob Ehrlich — not former Gov. Larry Hogan — as the guest of honor at her re-election fundraiser in late October. Billed as Giordano’s annual Harvest Party, her event drew conservative activists from across the lower Eastern Shore and featured Ehrlich as keynote speaker. This was immediately read by insiders as a signal that Giordano will embrace the party’s right-wing base ahead of 2026, distancing herself from Hogan’s more centrist, bipartisan image. “Bringing in Bob Ehrlich instead of Larry Hogan wasn’t accidental,” one longtime Republican strategist said. “It shows Giordano wants to plant her flag with the MAGA-aligned wing of the party, the same voters who now dominate Maryland’s Republican primary base.” Hogan, who has hinted at another run for governor, was notably absent from this year’s Tawes Crab and Clam Bake in Somerset County, a high-profile gathering long considered essential for statewide contenders. Coupled with Giordano’s public alignment with Ehrlich, Hogan’s absence has fueled speculation that his influence within Maryland’s GOP is slipping. Those doubts were amplified by new polling data. A statewide survey commissioned by the Baltimore Banner found Gov. Wes Moore (D) leading Hogan 45% to 37% in a hypothetical 2026 matchup, with 14% undecided. The poll, conducted by phone and web from Oct. 7–10 among more than 900 registered voters, carries a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. The results suggest that while Hogan remains popular among moderates and independents, Moore continues to hold a firm advantage statewide, particularly among Democrats and younger voters. Giordano’s decision to align herself with Ehrlich rather than Hogan further illustrates the ideological divide defining Maryland Republicans heading into 2026. As the party drifts further to the right, analysts say Hogan’s brand of pragmatic centrism may no longer have a natural home in today’s GOP. For now, Ehrlich’s appearance in Salisbury is being seen as a symbolic moment, one that cements Giordano’s status as a leading figure in the state’s Trump-aligned movement and underscores how quickly the political winds have shifted. For Hogan, once seen as the Republican best positioned to reclaim the governor’s office, that shift may mark the end of an era.
By Jan Plotczyk November 4, 2025
Can Maryland create a new congressional map that will flip the state’s sole Republican district to the Democrats? Gov. Wes Moore has created a Governor's Redistricting Advisory Commission to consider mid-cycle redistricting and Maryland has jumped into the redistricting fray. The commission will conduct public hearings, solicit public feedback, and present recommendations to the governor and Maryland General Assembly. “My commitment has been clear from day one — we will explore every avenue possible to make sure Maryland has fair and representative maps,” said Moore. “And we also need to make sure that, if the president of the United States is putting his finger on the scale to try to manipulate elections because he knows that his policies cannot win in a ballot box, then it behooves each and every one of us to be able to keep all options on the table to ensure that the voters’ voices can actually be heard .” Moore’s commission is one of those options — a response to Trump’s call to Republican-led states to create more GOP House districts before the 2026 midterm elections. Three GOP states — Texas, Missouri, and North Carolina — have completed a Trump gerrymander for a gain of seven seats and three more states — Indiana, Utah, and Ohio — could create new maps with a total of four additional Republican seats. That would make 11, should they withstand challenges. Democratic-led states made a lot of noise at first about countering these GOP efforts, but only California and Virginia have campaigns for new maps underway. California wants to flip five seats and Virginia hopes for up to four. Optimistically, that could add up to as many as nine. Maryland’s goal would be to add one Democratic seat. Other states on both sides could soon follow, in some cases taking advantage of existing redistricting deadlines or ongoing litigation. Maryland State Senate President Bill Ferguson (D-Balto City) is not in favor of mid-cycle redistricting, calling it too dicey. “Simply put, it is too risky and jeopardizes Maryland’s ability to fight against the radical Trump administration. At a time where every seat in Congress matters, the potential for ceding yet another one to Republicans here in Maryland is simply too great,” Ferguson wrote in a letter to Senate Democrats. Rep. Andrew P. Harris (R-MD01), whose district would be targeted by redistricting, called the effort "the most partisan thing you could do." He whined, “It just wouldn’t be fair.” Harris warned that any redistricting could backfire on the Democrats. “We will take this to court, it will go as high as necessary, and in the end, a judge could draw a map that actually has two or three Republican congressmen,” Harris said. “I’d caution the Democrats, be careful what you wish for.” Harris and his wife, Maryland GOP Chair Nicole Beus Harris, have perhaps already worked out a strategy. The Governor’s Redistricting Advisory Commission, last constituted by Gov. Martin O’Malley in 2011, will begin its work this month. The five-member commission includes: Chair: Senator Angela Alsobrooks Senate President Bill Ferguson or designee Speaker Adrienne A. Jones or designee Former Attorney General Brian Frosh Cumberland Mayor Ray Morriss “We have a president that treats our democracy with utter contempt. We have a Republican party that is trying to rig the rules in response to their terrible polling,” said Sen. Alsobrooks. “Let me be clear: Maryland deserves a fair map that represents the will of the people. That’s why I’m proud to chair this commission. Our democracy depends on all of us standing up in this moment.” Will Maryland’s First District finally be competitive? Can we at long last replace “AWOL Andy” Harris? Stay tuned…. Jan Plotczyk spent 25 years as a survey and education statistician with the federal government, at the Census Bureau and the National Center for Education Statistics. She retired to Rock Hall.
By CSES Staff November 4, 2025
In strong numbers, local residents turned out last month for a community information session on offshore wind hosted by the Alliance for Offshore Wind at the Ocean Pines library. The forum heard from industry experts, environmental advocates, and labor leaders to discuss how offshore wind projects can support jobs, clean energy, and coastal resilience along Maryland’s Eastern Shore. Featured were Sam Saluto of Oceantic, Jim Strong of the United Steelworkers, Ron Larsen of Sea Ink Solutions, and Jim Brown of the Audubon Society, all of whom emphasized the long-term environmental and economic benefits of wind development off Maryland’s coast. Speakers outlined how the project, once completed, is expected to create hundreds of high-paying jobs, generate clean power for tens of thousands of homes, and reduce reliance on fossil fuels that cause pollution and coastal erosion. “The potential here is extraordinary,” said Saluto, highlighting Oceantic’s ongoing work to ensure safety and sustainability standards remain at the highest level. “We’re not just talking about wind turbines. We’re talking about revitalizing local economies and protecting the Shore’s way of life.” Union representative Jim Strong echoed that sentiment, noting that Maryland’s labor community sees offshore wind as a chance to rebuild domestic manufacturing capacity while giving workers access to strong wages and long-term stability. Environmental voices, including Jim Brown of the Audubon Society, focused on how properly sited wind projects can reduce carbon emissions while coexisting with marine wildlife and migratory bird patterns. While most of the evening centered on data and community questions, the event briefly turned tense when Ocean City Mayor Rick Meehan, who is leading a lawsuit challenging Maryland’s offshore wind plans, attempted to question the panel. The mayor appeared to lose his train of thought mid-sentence and later cast doubt on the reality of climate change, drawing visible concern from several attendees. Meehan, a New Yorker who moved to Ocean City in 1971 and has held public office since 1985, has become one of the region’s most vocal opponents of offshore wind. His critics argue the lawsuit represents an effort to stall progress rather than engage with the facts presented by energy, labor, and environmental experts. Despite the brief exchange, the overall tone of the evening was forward-looking. Residents lingered after the formal discussion to review informational materials, speak with industry representatives, and learn about opportunities for community involvement. For many, the message was clear: Maryland’s transition to clean energy is not only feasible, it’s already underway, and the Eastern Shore stands to benefit.
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