In November, Americans will go to the polls and decide the leadership of this country for the next two to six years. Some candidates run unopposed and a few others win by sizable margins or even a landslide. But most elections, especially at the national level, are close with just a few percentage points separating the winner from the runner-up. This is why — whether any individual voter believes it or not — every vote counts.
Let’s look at the presidential race. The fact is that one of two men, Joe Biden or Donald Trump, the Democrat or the Republican — barring some unforeseen event — will be the next president of the United States.
Other names may be on the ballot but they will not win. However, they can be spoilers, reducing the margin of victory, creating controversy and chaos, or drawing enough votes to cause some candidates to lose a race they otherwise might have won. This is especially true in the presidential race, due to the winner-take-all system of the electoral college in most states.
The same is true for elections to the Senate and the House. The choice, realistically, is between the candidates of the two major political parties — the Democrats and the Republicans. There are, of course, other parties, minor parties such as the Green Party and the Libertarian Party. There are also Independents, candidates who are not affiliated with any political party.
The percentage of votes that these minor players get is always very small, just a few percentage points of the total vote, generally less than 5% of all votes cast. However, that fraction is often more than the difference between the two major party candidates.
Even if you don’t particularly care for either Biden or Trump, nonetheless, one of them will be the next president. Which do you prefer? You can either vote for one of the two candidates who will become president or you can vote for an independent, a third party candidate, or a write-in.
Or you can not vote at all — just stay home. But all those decisions are essentially choosing to throw your vote away.
In the 2020 election, about 66% of eligible voters went to the polls. Approximately 34% stayed home. That’s enough votes to swing any election.
Just under 3 million of the 158 million voters in 2020 cast their ballots for third party or independent candidates or voted for write-in candidates. Some cast protest or joke ballots, writing in their own names or Abraham Lincoln or Donald Duck. Sadly, most of those votes were basically “thrown away” because those candidates never had any realistic chance of winning.
Reasons for voting for a minority party candidate or not voting are many. And those reasons may feel correct or righteous. “I want to send a message. Because climate change is my main concern, I plan to vote for the Green Party.” Or “I’m voting for the Libertarian candidate because I like their policies on government regulation.” Or perhaps “I’m not voting because they’re all corrupt, and my one vote won’t make a difference.”
But it does make a difference. Many elections, especially in small districts, are decided by just a few votes. Some are tied and winners have been chosen by a coin flip or by drawing straws. In 2017, a tie between the Democratic and the Republican candidates for a seat in the Virginia state legislature was decided by drawing names from a bowl. The Republican’s name was drawn, giving the Republicans a 51-49 majority. Had the Democrat’s name been drawn, the legislature would have been tied at 50 each. Just one vote determined which party controlled the Virginia legislature.
In Maryland, polls show the race for the Senate seat between Democrat Angela Alsobrooks and Republican Larry Hogan are very close, within two percentage points and well within the margin of error. Whichever one wins will affect control of the Senate. Whether Democrats or Republicans control the Senate will have a great effect on many issues, including reproductive rights, immigration policy, taxes, and foreign policy, especially regarding the two on-going wars in Ukraine and Gaza. There are significant differences between the policies of the two major parties on all of these issues.
No matter who you vote for — or if you don’t vote at all — the next president is still going to be either Biden or Trump. Alsobrooks or Hogan will be the senator from Maryland. The House and the Senate will be under either Democratic or Republican control.
Don’t throw your vote away.
Vote. And vote as if your vote matters. It does.
Jane Jewell is a writer, editor, photographer, and teacher. She has worked in news, publishing, and as the director of a national writer's group. She lives in Chestertown with her husband Peter Heck, a ginger cat named Riley, and a lot of books.
Title image: Pond at Pickering Creek Audubon Center, Talbot Co. Photo: Jan Plotczyk